Is a 10-year super-long contract in the KBO a gamble? It’s hard to start, but positive thoughts are sprouting

 NC Dinos signed a long-term contract with Chang-mo Koo on the 17th, so a long-term contract of more than 6 years is a hot topic, rather than the 4-year standard for FA requalification.

Koo Chang-mo agreed to a contract that guarantees a total of 9 billion won for six years from next year to 2028. If you combine incentives of 3.5 billion won over 6 years, you can earn up to 125 won. In addition, if FA qualification is not obtained at the end of 2024, the contents of the contract will be changed to a maximum of 13.2 billion won for 7 years.

Now, non-FA long-term contracts have become commonplace. Previously, the Lotte Giants signed a contract with Park Se-woong for up to 9 billion won for 5 years, and a year ago, SSG Landers Park Jong-hoon, Moon Seung-won, Hanyu Island, and Samsung Lions Koo Ja-wook signed a long-term non-FA contract.

In the FA market, long-term contracts of 6 years or more are on the rise. Choi Jeong, Na Seong-beom, Park Kun-woo, and Kim Hyeon-soo signed a 6-year contract, and this winter, NC Park Min-woo stayed on the condition of receiving 14 billion won for 5+3 years, up to 8 years.

Long-term contracts like this are a double-edged sword for the club. It is possible to retain a player of outstanding skill for a long time, but the risk is also high depending on variables such as injury. In the case of Koo Chang-mo, after becoming the best pitcher in the KBO League in the first half of 2019, frequent injuries prevented him from continuing his growth. However, after he returned this year, when he showed stability with 11 wins and 5 losses in 19 games and an ERA of 2.10, the NC club decided to sign a long-term contract early before becoming a free agent.

It is unknown whether Gu Chang-mo will meet expectations every year until 2028, when it is guaranteed, but it seems that the club accepted the proposal in that the player can focus only on baseball without anxiety about the future.

If players who have signed long-term contracts of more than 6 years in the last 1-2 years fill the contract period with stable skills, it is expected that ultra-long contracts of 10 years or more will appear in the KBO League. If more than half of the players contracted for 6 years or more perform at least 4 seasons at their best, the possibility of a 10-year contract can be explored from young players currently in their early and mid-20s.

Fielders are more likely than pitchers, who have relatively more injury variables. LG Twins Moon Bo-kyung (22), Kiwoom Heroes Kim Hye-seong (23), Lotte Han Dong-hee (23), SSG Choi Ji-hoon (25) and Park Seong-han (24), and Hanwha Eagles Jeong Eun-won (22) and Noh Si-hwan (22) can be cited as candidates. .

Kiwoom Lee Jung-hoo is also not enough even if he signs a 10-year contract, but he plans to challenge overseas leagues after next season. 안전놀이터

In the major leagues, 10-year contracts are not uncommon. In this free agency market, three players succeeded in signing ultra-long-term contracts of more than 10 years. Shortstop Carlos Correa signed a 13-year, $350 million contract with the San Francisco Giants, and Trey Turner moved to the Philadelphia Phillies for 11 years, $300 million. Another shortstop, Zander Bogarts, also signed for the San Diego Padres for $280 million with an 11-year contract. Aaron Judge, the home run king, decided to receive $360 million for 9 years, less than 10 to 1 year, and remained with the New York Yankees.

There are a total of 22 long-term contracts of 10 years or more in MLB history. San Diego’s Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 14-year streak at the beginning of last year is the longest ever. In the major leagues, positive and skepticism about such a contract coexist. What is clear is that both clubs and players choose ultra-long-term contracts out of necessity. It’s business.